India set to remain world's most populous country throughout 21st century

India is expected to retain its position as the world’s most populous country throughout the 21st century, according to the United Nations’ World Population Prospects 2024 report. Released recently, the report forecasts that India’s population will peak in the early 2060s at approximately 1.7 billion people, followed by a 12% decline by the end of the century.

The UN report also projects that the global population will reach its zenith around 10.3 billion in the mid-2080s, rising from 8.2 billion in 2024. This will be followed by a gradual decrease to 10.2 billion by the year 2100, reflecting the broader demographic trends anticipated worldwide.

Significantly, the report highlights an increase in global life expectancy post-COVID-19. Life expectancy at birth is projected to reach 73.3 years in 2024, an increase of 8.4 years since 1995. This figure is expected to average 77.4 years by the mid-2050s, demonstrating notable improvements in global health and longevity.

One critical insight from the report is the anticipated demographic shift by 2080, where the number of individuals aged 65 and above will surpass those under 18. This trend underscores the necessity for countries experiencing demographic aging to adopt technology that enhances productivity, supports diverse workforces, and fosters continuous learning and extended careers.

The UN emphasized the importance of leveraging these demographic changes to benefit from the potential economic advantages they present. Countries are encouraged to create policies that address these shifts, ensuring sustainable development and economic stability.

The 2024 Revision of the World Population Prospects marks the twenty-eighth round of global population estimates and projections produced by the Population Division of the United Nations since 1951. This comprehensive analysis continues to serve as a critical resource for policymakers and researchers worldwide.